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Motala vs Stenungsunds IF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Grahn E.
26' Event
Lindquist A.
34' Event
Adam A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Motala and Stenungsunds IF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motala
30%
Draws
41%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenungsunds IF come out ahead of Motala on wins alone.
  • Stenungsunds IF are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
2:2
May 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Motala
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Motala
2:2
May 18, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
3:3
Oct 10, 1998 Superettan - South
Motala vs Stenungsunds IF
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Grahn E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adam A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindquist A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekdahl L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 18 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Stenungsunds IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenungsunds IF let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Motala's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Motala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS Stenungsunds IF
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
Page 1 of 6

Stenungsunds IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)