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Motema Pembe vs AC Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Motema Pembe and AC Rangers finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Motema Pembe
20%
Draws
0%
AC Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Motema Pembe haven't matched AC Rangers's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Motema Pembe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%
AC Rangers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motema Pembe AC Rangers
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
AC Rangers vs Motema Pembe
1:3
Dec 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AC Rangers
0:0
Jun 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AC Rangers
4:0
Apr 24, 2025 Ligue 1
AC Rangers vs Motema Pembe
2:3
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 1
AC Rangers vs Motema Pembe
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motema Pembe 85 / 100
AC Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motema Pembe AC Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

AC Rangers's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Motema Pembe scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: AC Rangers conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Motema Pembe VS AC Rangers
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motema Pembe

(Home)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

AC Rangers

(Away)
15 Apr
Dauphins Noirs
3 : 0
AC Rangers
12 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 3
AS Vita Club
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
01 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
27 Mar
AC Rangers
1 : 3
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)