Sport Picks
Motema Pembe vs AS Dragons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
DR Congo
Super Ligue 2018/2019 Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa 
AI Match Summary
The Super Ligue 2018/2019 game between Motema Pembe and AS Dragons finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motema Pembe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motema Pembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Motema Pembe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Motema Pembe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Motema Pembe here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%
AS Dragons Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motema Pembe | AS Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 3 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2019 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Dragons
2:0
Oct 8, 2018 Ligue 1
AS Dragons vs Motema Pembe
0:1
Jun 13, 2018 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Dragons
4:1
Apr 21, 2018 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Dragons
2:0
Feb 21, 2018 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Dragons
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motema Pembe 85 / 100
AS Dragons 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motema Pembe AS Dragons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AS Dragons conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
AS Dragons lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Motema Pembe scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Motema Pembe VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Motema Pembe
(Home) 18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 7
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
22 Mar
Motema Pembe
0 : 0 Celeste
18 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 Dauphins Noirs
07 Feb
Motema Pembe
0 : 0 Aigles du Congo
16 Jan
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
Page 1 of 3
AS Dragons
(Away) 12 May
Mont Bleu
3 : 0 AS Dragons
09 May
Dauphins Noirs
1 : 0 AS Dragons
07 May
AS Dragons
0 : 3 Mazembe
05 May
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 1 AS Dragons
25 Apr
Muungano
3 : 0 AS Dragons
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Mont Bleu
3 : 0 AS Dragons
09 May
Dauphins Noirs
1 : 0 AS Dragons
05 May
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 1 AS Dragons
25 Apr
Muungano
3 : 0 AS Dragons
27 Mar
Motema Pembe
2 : 0 AS Dragons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 82:11 | 83 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 60:15 | 74 |
| 3 | Motema Pembe | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 47:25 | 63 |
| 4 | AS Maniema | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 40:23 | 57 |
| 5 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 37:29 | 42 |
| 6 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 25:25 | 41 |
| 7 | Dauphins Noirs | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 40 |
| 8 | Nyuki | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:32 | 38 |
| 9 | OC Renaissance | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:40 | 38 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Don Bosco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34:36 | 36 |
| 12 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 25:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Mont Bleu | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 15 | AS Dragons | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 12:53 | 14 |
| 16 | Muungano | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 10:71 | 7 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020 (Qualification)
