Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motherwell host Aberdeen in the Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Motherwell have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Aberdeen's 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Motherwell have won 3 to Aberdeen's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back Motherwell to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Motherwell
6%
Draws
90%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell have won more games recently than Aberdeen.
  • Model gives Aberdeen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 16%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell Aberdeen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Scottish Cup
Aberdeen vs Motherwell
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs Aberdeen
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Motherwell
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs Aberdeen
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Motherwell
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell 10 / 100
Aberdeen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Motherwell scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Aberdeen has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Motherwell stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell VS Aberdeen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
23 Jul
Motherwell
2 : 0
HB Torshavn
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
16 May
Hibernian
0 : 1
Motherwell
13 May
Motherwell
2 : 3
Celtic
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Aberdeen

(Away)
25 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Kelty Hearts
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4
Aberdeen
18 Jul
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Queen's Park
14 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 2
Aberdeen
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)