Sport Picks
Motherwell vs Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell 
AI Match Summary
Motherwell host Hearts in the Premiership. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hearts have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Motherwell have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Motherwell have won 0 to Hearts's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 2.50) back Hearts to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motherwell haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motherwell | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hearts has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Motherwell scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Motherwell remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Motherwell
(Home)Hearts
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | 5 |
