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Motherwell W vs Gartcairn W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Stewart A.
Assist: Arr S.
65' Event
Blyth-Clark M.
Assist: Thomson K.
67' Event
Sinclair L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Motherwell W
15%
Draws
42%
Gartcairn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Motherwell W have won more games recently than Gartcairn W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Motherwell W taking it.
  • Motherwell W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Motherwell W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
Gartcairn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Gartcairn W
Matches Played 36 16
Wins 18 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Motherwell W vs Gartcairn W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blyth-Clark M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Gartcairn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 34 / 100
Gartcairn W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Gartcairn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gartcairn W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

Motherwell W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Gartcairn W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell W VS Gartcairn W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.17
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 8

Gartcairn W

(Away)
13 Sept
Partick W
3 : 0
Gartcairn W
26 Aug
Gartcairn W
4 : 3
Dundee Utd W
09 Aug
Gartcairn W
1 : 2
Boroughmuir W
05 Aug
Motherwell W
2 : 1
Gartcairn W
02 Aug
Gartcairn W
3 : 1
Queen's Park W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)