Sport Picks
Motherwell W vs Montrose W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
SWPL Cup Women 
Match Events
3'
3'
Watson C.
51'
51'
Taylor D.
Assist: Gover C.
55'
55'
Taylor D.
Assist: McDonald K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Motherwell W come out ahead of Montrose W on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Motherwell W taking it.
- Motherwell W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motherwell W | Montrose W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:3
Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
1:3
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motherwell W Compare
Top Goalscorer Watson C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Montrose W Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor D.
2 Goals Assists Leader McDonald K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motherwell W 83 / 100
Montrose W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motherwell W Montrose W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Montrose W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Montrose W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Motherwell W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Motherwell W VS Montrose W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Motherwell W
(Home) 04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0 Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2 Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0 Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3 Rangers W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0 Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2 Spartans W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3 Rangers W
23 Aug
Motherwell W
0 : 5 Hearts W
Page 1 of 3
Montrose W
(Away) 04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3 Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2 Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1 Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0 Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7 Hearts W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2 Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1 Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0 Montrose W
23 Aug
Celtic W
3 : 0 Montrose W
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8 Montrose W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Motherwell W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartans W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Hamilton W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Boroughmuir W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Gartcairn W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen's Park W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Renfrew W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 3 |
| 12 | St Johnstone W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Aberdeen W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Falkirk FCF W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:17 | 0 |
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
