Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Wedrychowski M.
46'
Sub
Wedrychowski M. In: Bartlewicz S.
Out: Wedrychowski M.
46'
Sub
Czerwinski A. In: Resta P.
Out: Czerwinski A.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Motor Lublin and GKS Katowice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Lublin
15%
Draws
59%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GKS Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • GKS Katowice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin GKS Katowice
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin
3:2
Oct 17, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice
2:5
Feb 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice
3:2
Aug 16, 2024 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

GKS Katowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 30 / 100
GKS Katowice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin GKS Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Motor Lublin scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: GKS Katowice conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Motor Lublin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS GKS Katowice
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

GKS Katowice

(Away)
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
30 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3
GKS Katowice
23 Aug
GKS Katowice
5 : 0
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)