Sport Picks
Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin 
Match Events
33'
33'
Prelec N.
40'
40'
Montoia G.
62'
62'
Sub
Conceicao R. In: Agbonifo J.
Out: Conceicao R.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motor Lublin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia come out ahead of Motor Lublin on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Jagiellonia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 16%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motor Lublin | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Motor Lublin
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Motor Lublin
3:0
Sep 25, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Jagiellonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Prelec N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lozano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Jagiellonia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motor Lublin Jagiellonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Motor Lublin scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Jagiellonia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Jagiellonia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Motor Lublin VS Jagiellonia
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Motor Lublin
(Home) 19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
16 Aug
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 4
Jagiellonia
(Away) 03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
30 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 5 Jagiellonia
27 Aug
Iberia 1999
1 : 2 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
