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Motor Lublin vs Vardar Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jan 23, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin host Vardar in the Club Friendly. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Motor Lublin at 1.53 goals for, 1.43 against; Vardar at 2.07 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Motor Lublin have won 0 to Vardar's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.81) point toward Vardar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Motor Lublin
30%
Draws
51%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Motor Lublin.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 11%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Vardar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.53 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Vardar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 10 / 100
Vardar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vardar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Motor Lublin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Vardar
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
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