Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Marienberg vs Ludwigsfelder

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lemke C.
31' Event
Eirich A.
90' Event
Schleske Y.

AI Match Summary

Ludwigsfelder in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludwigsfelder.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Motor Marienberg
15%
Draws
36%
Ludwigsfelder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motor Marienberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Motor Marienberg have won more games recently than Ludwigsfelder.
  • Motor Marienberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 20%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Marienberg Ludwigsfelder
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.1 0.81
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Ludwigsfelder
0:3
Aug 6, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Motor Marienberg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Marienberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemke C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eirich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Marienberg 85 / 100
Ludwigsfelder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Marienberg Ludwigsfelder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Marienberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludwigsfelder's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Motor Marienberg scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Ludwigsfelder has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ludwigsfelder
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Marienberg

(Home)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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Ludwigsfelder

(Away)
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
28 Jun
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 3
Hertha Berlin
31 May
Ludwigsfelder
1 : 4
Einheit Rudolstadt
25 May
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Ludwigsfelder
17 May
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 2
Krieschow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)