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Motril vs Arenas Armilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Lopez A.
83' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Motril
20%
Draws
38%
Arenas Armilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenas Armilla have won more games recently than Motril.
  • Model gives Motril a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Arenas Armilla
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 13 14
Draws 13 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arenas Armilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 42 / 100
Arenas Armilla 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Arenas Armilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Arenas Armilla conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Motril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS Arenas Armilla
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 7

Arenas Armilla

(Away)
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)