Sport Picks
Match Events
72'
72'
Lopez A.
83'
83'
Garcia M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arenas Armilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Arenas Armilla have won more games recently than Motril.
- Model gives Motril a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Motril
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Arenas Armilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motril 36 / 100
Arenas Armilla 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motril Arenas Armilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Arenas Armilla conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Motril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Motril VS Arenas Armilla
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home) 20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 3
Arenas Armilla
(Away) 20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
