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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motril haven't matched Arenas Armilla's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Arenas Armilla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motril Compare
Arenas Armilla Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motril scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Arenas Armilla let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Motril stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.