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Motril vs CD Alhaurino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
González Salvador I.
90' Event
Camacho C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Motril and CD Alhaurino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Motril
20%
Draws
23%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of CD Alhaurino on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Motril taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Motril
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Motril
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer González Salvador I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camacho C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Alhaurino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 68 / 100
CD Alhaurino 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Alhaurino conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Motril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS CD Alhaurino
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 6

CD Alhaurino

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)