Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Motril and Guadix finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Guadix haven't matched Motril's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Motril's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Motril have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Guadix Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Guadix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 3 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Guadix
5:0
Dec 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Motril
1:2
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Guadix
3:0
Nov 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Motril
2:3
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Motril
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motril 85 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motril Guadix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Guadix conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Motril scored in 78% of their last 45 games.
Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Motril VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 9
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
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Guadix
(Away) 19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
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19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
31 Mar
CD Torreperogil
3 : 0 Guadix
17 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
7 : 1 Guadix
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaen | 42 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 99:32 | 101 |
| 2 | Linares | 42 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 79:32 | 87 |
| 3 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 90:35 | 82 |
| 4 | El Palo | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 65:34 | 81 |
| 5 | Velez | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 56:40 | 68 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 79:59 | 68 |
| 7 | Loja | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 68:64 | 62 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59:52 | 60 |
| 9 | Alhaurin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 73:69 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 74:59 | 58 |
| 11 | CD Torreperogil | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 43:52 | 58 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 56:65 | 57 |
| 13 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:55 | 57 |
| 14 | CP Almeria | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | 57 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 72:66 | 56 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 57:65 | 53 |
| 17 | Rincon | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45:63 | 52 |
| 18 | Martos | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 41:70 | 44 |
| 19 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 49:79 | 42 |
| 20 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 48:75 | 41 |
| 21 | Guadix | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:95 | 35 |
| 22 | River Melilla | 42 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 28:125 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
