Sport Picks
Motril vs Malaga Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 
Match Events
1'
1'
Carmelo
15'
15'
Perez J.
90'
90'
Garcia R.
AI Match Summary
Motril in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Motril have won more games recently than Malaga Juniors.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Motril taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Motril have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Malaga Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 3 |
| Draws | 12 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga Juniors
3:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga Juniors
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Carmelo
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Malaga Juniors Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motril 95 / 100
Malaga Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motril Malaga Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malaga Juniors has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.
Difficult form: Malaga Juniors registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Motril's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Motril VS Malaga Juniors
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home) 27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 4
Malaga Juniors
(Away) 27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2 Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2 Malaga Juniors
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0 Malaga Juniors
12 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 0 Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 76:22 | 83 |
| 2 | Jaen | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 60:35 | 73 |
| 3 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 57:35 | 61 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35:28 | 57 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:35 | 54 |
| 8 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 42:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Mancha | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Marbelli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 11 | El Palo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:49 | 41 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 28:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45:55 | 36 |
| 16 | Ejido | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36:68 | 27 |
| 17 | CP Almeria | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 35:75 | 23 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:63 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
