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Motril vs Rincon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Capitan P.
31' Event
Al Azami A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Motril and Rincon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Motril
30%
Draws
42%
Rincon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Motril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Motril's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Rincon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Rincon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.47 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Motril
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Rincon
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Motril
3:4
Dec 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Rincon
4:2
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Motril
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Azami A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Capitan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 42 / 100
Rincon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rincon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Motril found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Rincon

(Away)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)