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Moulins vs Auxerre II

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CFA - Group B 2015/2016
Moulins Logo

Moulins

1 - 3
FT
Auxerre II Logo

Auxerre II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group B 2015/2016 game between Moulins and Auxerre II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Moulins
15%
Draws
42%
Auxerre II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moulins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Moulins's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Auxerre II have produced (1.16).
  • Auxerre II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moulins Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moulins Auxerre II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 National 1 - Group B
Moulins vs Auxerre II
1:3
Sep 19, 2015 National 1 - Group B
Auxerre II vs Moulins
0:1
Feb 23, 2013 National 1 - Group B
Moulins vs Auxerre II
4:0
Sep 8, 2012 National 1 - Group B
Auxerre II vs Moulins
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moulins 24 / 100
Auxerre II 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moulins Auxerre II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moulins's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Auxerre II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Auxerre II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auxerre II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moulins

(Home)
04 Jun
Sarre Union
3 : 0
Moulins
28 May
Moulins
0 : 3
St. Louis Neuweg
14 May
Jura Sud
4 : 0
Moulins
07 May
Moulins
4 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
30 Apr
Grenoble
1 : 2
Moulins
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Auxerre II

(Away)
18 May
Colmar
1 : 0
Auxerre II
11 May
Auxerre II
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
27 Apr
Furiani Agliani
2 : 0
Auxerre II
20 Apr
Auxerre II
5 : 0
St Quentin
13 Apr
Fleury-Merogis
3 : 1
Auxerre II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon - La Duchere 30 18 8 4 44:19 92
2 Grenoble 30 17 8 5 40:19 89
3 Auxerre II 30 14 7 9 39:27 79
4 Lyon II 30 14 5 11 39:41 77
5 Villefranche 30 11 10 9 37:30 73
6 Jura Sud 30 11 11 8 41:34 73
7 JA Drancy 30 10 11 9 33:29 71
8 St. Louis Neuweg 30 11 7 12 30:30 70
9 GOAL FC 30 8 14 8 26:32 68
10 Mulhouse 30 10 7 13 33:36 67
11 Moulins-Yzeure 30 8 12 10 27:29 66
12 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 8 8 14 27:35 62
13 Montceau 30 8 8 14 28:50 62
14 Sarre Union 30 6 10 14 34:41 58
15 Sochaux II 30 5 9 16 23:42 54
16 Moulins 30 9 9 12 34:41 64
Promotion - National 2016/2017 (Main)