Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mouloudia Oujda vs KAC Kenitra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026 Honneur Stadium, Oujda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Botola 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mouloudia Oujda
35%
Draws
26%
KAC Kenitra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mouloudia Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mouloudia Oujda at 1.14 per game, KAC Kenitra at 1.07.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouloudia Oujda KAC Kenitra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Botola 2
KAC Kenitra vs Mouloudia Oujda
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Botola 2
KAC Kenitra vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:0
Mar 27, 2024 Coupe du Trone
Mouloudia Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouloudia Oujda 41 / 100
KAC Kenitra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouloudia Oujda KAC Kenitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mouloudia Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

KAC Kenitra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Mouloudia Oujda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mouloudia Oujda VS KAC Kenitra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouloudia Oujda

(Home)
03 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
Dcheira
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 6

KAC Kenitra

(Away)
04 Oct
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)