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Mouna vs Agboville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Mouna Logo

Mouna

1 - 1
FT
Agboville Logo

Agboville

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mouna and Agboville finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mouna
35%
Draws
40%
Agboville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Agboville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mouna Clean Sheet 20%
Agboville Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouna Agboville
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Agboville
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Agboville vs Mouna
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouna 36 / 100
Agboville 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouna Agboville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agboville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Mouna scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mouna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Agboville has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mouna VS Agboville
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouna

(Home)
06 Oct
Mouna
0 : 2
Yamoussoukro
26 Sept
Stade d'Abidjan
0 : 0
Mouna
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
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Agboville

(Away)
27 Sept
Korhogo
0 : 1
Agboville
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
17 May
Agboville
0 : 1
ISCA
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
03 May
Agboville
1 : 0
Racing d'Abidjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)