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Mouna vs Stella Adjame

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Mouna Logo

Mouna

1 - 0
FT
Stella Adjame Logo

Stella Adjame

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mouna and Stella Adjame finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mouna
30%
Draws
39%
Stella Adjame
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stella Adjame

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mouna are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mouna Clean Sheet 20%
Stella Adjame Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouna Stella Adjame
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Stella Adjame vs Mouna
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Stella Adjame vs Mouna
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouna 36 / 100
Stella Adjame 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouna Stella Adjame

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouna's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stella Adjame conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mouna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mouna VS Stella Adjame
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouna

(Home)
26 Sept
Stade d'Abidjan
0 : 0
Mouna
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
Page 1 of 6

Stella Adjame

(Away)
04 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 0
Stella Adjame
27 Sept
SO Armee
2 : 1
Stella Adjame
23 May
Stella Adjame
2 : 1
Racing d'Abidjan
16 May
Bouake
1 : 2
Stella Adjame
09 May
Stella Adjame
1 : 0
Stade d'Abidjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)