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Mouna vs Stella Adjame

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mouna and Stella Adjame finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mouna
40%
Draws
29%
Stella Adjame
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mouna Clean Sheet 20%
Stella Adjame Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouna Stella Adjame
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Stella Adjame vs Mouna
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Stella Adjame vs Mouna
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stella Adjame
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouna 32 / 100
Stella Adjame 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouna Stella Adjame

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouna's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stella Adjame conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mouna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mouna VS Stella Adjame
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASEC Mimosas30195650:2162
2San Pedro301410643:3252
3Academie de FAD30148840:2450
4Mouna301461042:3048
5Tchologo30129929:2945
6Stade d'Abidjan301271130:2843
7Stella Adjame301191028:2842
8SOL301231533:4639
9Korhogo301081231:3238
10Bouake309111024:2538
11SO Armee309101123:2337
12ISCA301061416:2736
13Agboville308101220:3034
14Zoman30891320:3233
15Olympique Sport30881427:4032
16Racing d'Abidjan30691524:3327