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Mount Pleasant vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Draxhall Sports Complex, Runaway Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Edwards R.
32' Event
Gordon R.
38' Event
Green D.

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mount Pleasant
6%
Draws
4%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Chapelton.
  • Mount Pleasant are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mount Pleasant have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 16%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Chapelton
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 23 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 1 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Chapelton
5:2
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Mount Pleasant
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Chapelton
3:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Mount Pleasant
0:2
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Chapelton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Green D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 84 / 100
Chapelton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mount Pleasant remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mount Pleasant's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chapelton conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Chapelton
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 3.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
02 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
31 Jul
Mount Pleasant
3 : 1
Robinhood
28 Jul
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Weymouth Wales
25 Jul
Mount Pleasant
:
All Saints United
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 8

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)