Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mountjoy vs Magherafelt

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magherafelt in this Irish Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mountjoy
15%
Draws
42%
Magherafelt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mountjoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Magherafelt have won more games recently than Mountjoy.
  • Win probability leans Magherafelt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Magherafelt arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Magherafelt, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mountjoy Clean Sheet 10%
Magherafelt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mountjoy Magherafelt
Matches Played 7 9
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 4.43 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2010 Irish Cup
Mountjoy vs Magherafelt
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mountjoy 10 / 100
Magherafelt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mountjoy Magherafelt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magherafelt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Mountjoy scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Magherafelt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mountjoy VS Magherafelt
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
4.43 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mountjoy

(Home)
28 Jul
Mountjoy
1 : 12
Portadown
14 Jul
Mountjoy
0 : 5
Dungannon
08 Dec
Tobermore
7 : 1
Mountjoy
17 Nov
Sirocco
0 : 1
Mountjoy
19 Nov
Mountjoy
0 : 3
Banbridge Rangers
Page 1 of 2

Magherafelt

(Away)
19 Aug
Magherafelt
:
Colin Valley
20 Aug
Moneyslane FC
6 : 1
Magherafelt
22 Aug
Magherafelt
1 : 2
Brantwood
20 Nov
Magherafelt
0 : 1
Shankill
23 Oct
Magherafelt
2 : 0
Bryansburn
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Foundry -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Crewe 2
Draperstown 1
Seagoe 1
Ardstraw 6
Dromara 7
Lisanally Rangers 3
Holywood 1
Downshire Y.M. 2
Wellington Rec 5
Strabane FC 0
Laurelvale 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camlough 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Saintfield 2
Barn 3
Downpatrick 2
Drumaness 1
Fivemiletown 2
Nortel 6
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Crumlin United 1
Mossley FC 0
Hanover 2
Bloomfield 5
Ards Rangers 9
Ballynure 2
Bangor Rangers 1
Malachians 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
TBD -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
Glentoran -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
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Islandmagee 4
Rathfern Rangers 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
East Belfast 1
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Dungiven -
Tobermore -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
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Magherafelt 2
Mountjoy 1
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 5
Richhill -
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AFC Craigavon 1
Shankill 2
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 4
Raceview 2
Lower Maze 1
Grove 4
Lisburn Rangers 6
Donard 1
Newcastle 1
Dollingstown 5
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Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec -
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Desertmartin 0
Brantwood 2
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Shorts 2
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Broomhedge 5
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
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Ardglass 3
Sirocco 1
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Bangor Swifts -
Killyleagh Youth 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
Bangor Old Boys 3
Kilmore Rec 6
Institute -
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Tandragee 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Groomsport 3
Kilbride 4
Derriaghy -
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Newington FC -
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Linfield -
1/128-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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Newry City -
Foundry 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Crewe 1
Ardstraw 2
Dromara 3
Downshire Y.M. 1
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
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Camlough 2
Barn 0
Downpatrick 0
Nortel 4
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
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Annagh -
Crumlin United 4
Bloomfield 1
Ards Rangers 2
Malachians 4
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
Glentoran -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
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Islandmagee 3
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
TBD -
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Magherafelt 2
Bryansburn 0
Richhill 0
Shankill 3
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 3
Grove 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dollingstown 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 1
Brantwood 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Broomhedge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ardglass 4
Bangor Swifts 1
Killyleagh Youth 2
Kilmore Rec 4
Institute -
TBD -
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TBD -
Tandragee 3
Kilbride 2
Derriaghy 2
Newington FC 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Linfield -
1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders 3
Newry City 2
Foundry 6
Ardstraw 3
Dromara 1
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
Camlough 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Crumlin United 2
Malachians 1
TBD -
Armagh -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Shankill 1
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Comber Rec 4
Dollingstown 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 5
Broomhedge 0
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
Ardglass 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Newington FC 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Foundry 3
Rosario Youth 1
Glebe 1
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Dundela 5
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 3
Armagh 2
PSNI 2
Queens University 3
Harland & Wolff 4
Ballyclare 2
Coagh Utd 2
Ards 5
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure 5
Dungiven 3
Tobermore 3
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 6
Moyola 1
Banbridge 0
Shankill 1
Limavady 2
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Knockbreda 0
Ballymoney 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Comber Rec 2
Warrenpoint 3
Dunmurry Rec 3
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Newington FC 0
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders -
Newry City -
Foundry 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Dundela 1
Larne 2
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 6
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 0
Queens University 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 2
Donegal 3
Portadown 4
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Sport & Leisure 2
Loughgall 6
Carrick Rangers 9
Shankill 4
Limavady 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 5
Ballymoney 1
Cliftonville 1
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 7
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Linfield 5
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Nortel 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 2
Queens University 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Portadown 2
Glentoran 3
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Linfield 4
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 5
Ballinamallard 0
Glenavon 3
Portadown 6
Glentoran 5
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 0
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 2
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 2