Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021

Armacenenses

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moura AC play Armacenenses in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moura AC averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Armacenenses averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Moura AC won 1, Armacenenses won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 27, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Moura AC and 1.00 for Armacenenses. This points to a Armacenenses double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Moura AC

40%

Draws

30%

Armacenenses

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Armacenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Moura AC picked up more points recently compared to Armacenenses.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Moura AC Clean Sheet 23%

Armacenenses Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moura AC	Armacenenses
Matches Played	30	10
Wins	9	3
Draws	5	3
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	1.07	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Moura AC vs Armacenenses

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Oct 11, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Armacenenses vs Moura AC

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Apr 28, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Moura AC vs Armacenenses

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Dec 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Armacenenses vs Moura AC

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Jan 21, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Moura AC vs Armacenenses

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moura AC 32 / 100

Armacenenses 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moura AC Armacenenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Armacenenses or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moura AC attacking → ← attacking Armacenenses

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Moura AC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 12

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Braga B	22	17	4	1	61:12	55
2	Merelinense	22	15	3	4	34:13	48
3	CDC Montalegre	22	10	8	4	36:24	38
4	SC Mirandela	22	9	8	5	24:16	35
5	Maria de Fonte	22	9	5	8	30:29	32
6	SC Vianense	22	9	5	8	26:28	32
7	Vilaverdense FC	22	7	7	8	28:30	28
8	Pedras Salgadas	22	6	8	8	19:23	26
9	Vidago	22	6	5	11	27:36	23
10	GD Braganca	22	4	8	10	16:25	20
11	Cerveira	22	3	6	13	11:27	15
12	Aguia Vimioso	22	1	5	16	12:61	8

Pos	Team	GD
1	Camacha	0:0
2	Mondinense	0:0
3	Tirsense	0:0
4	AD Fafe	0:0
5	FC Felgueiras	0:0
6	Brito	0:0
7	Vitoria Guimaraes B	0:0
8	Sao Martinho	0:0
9	Rio Ave B	0:0
10	Berco	0:0
11	Pevidem	0:0

Pos	Team	GD
1	Gondomar	0:0
2	Trofense	0:0
3	U. Madeira	0:0
4	Leca	0:0
5	Coimbroes	0:0
6	Paredes	0:0
7	Amarante FC	0:0
8	Camara de Lobos	0:0
9	SC Salgueiros	0:0
10	SC Vila Real	0:0
11	Maritimo B	0:0
12	Pedras Rubras	0:0

Pos	Team	GD
1	Vitoria Setubal	0:0
2	Olhanense	0:0
3	Juv. Evora	0:0
4	Louletano	0:0
5	Aljustrelense	0:0
6	Pinhalnovense	0:0
7	Esperanca de Lagos	0:0
8	Moura AC	0:0
9	Lusitano GC	0:0
10	Amora	0:0
11	Moncarapachense	0:0
12	Armacenenses	0:0