Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moura AC vs Fabril do Barreiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

0 - 1
FT
Fabril do Barreiro Logo

Fabril do Barreiro

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Ramos D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fabril do Barreiro in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fabril do Barreiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Moura AC
35%
Draws
45%
Fabril do Barreiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Moura AC have won more games recently than Fabril do Barreiro.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Fabril do Barreiro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 19%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moura AC Fabril do Barreiro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.09 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Fabril do Barreiro
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Moura AC
1:1
Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Fabril do Barreiro vs Moura AC
1:2
Oct 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Fabril do Barreiro
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moura AC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fabril do Barreiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moura AC 24 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moura AC Fabril do Barreiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Fabril do Barreiro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Moura AC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moura AC VS Fabril do Barreiro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moura AC

(Home)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

Fabril do Barreiro

(Away)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)