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Mousehole vs Exeter

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Harper V.
23' Event
Nombe S.
29' Event
Aitchison J.

AI Match Summary

Exeter in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mousehole
15%
Draws
34%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mousehole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Exeter have won more games recently than Mousehole.
  • Mousehole are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mousehole Clean Sheet 20%
Exeter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mousehole Exeter
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2024 Club Friendly
Mousehole vs Exeter
1:4
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Mousehole vs Exeter
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mousehole Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Harper V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nombe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mousehole 36 / 100
Exeter 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mousehole Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Mousehole scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Exeter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Exeter registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Exeter
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mousehole

(Home)
06 Sept
Bideford
3 : 1
Mousehole
05 Jul
Taunton Town
4 : 1
Mousehole
05 Oct
Mousehole
0 : 2
Bristol Manor Farm
21 Sept
Mousehole
3 : 1
Falmouth Town
17 Sept
Bashley
0 : 4
Mousehole
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Exeter

(Away)
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0
Accrington
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0
Exeter
10 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Exeter
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1
Exeter
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