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Mouzaia vs Bouakeul

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mouzaia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mouzaia
15%
Draws
0%
Bouakeul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mouzaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mouzaia's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Bouakeul have produced (0.75).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Mouzaia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mouzaia Clean Sheet 17%
Bouakeul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouzaia Bouakeul
Matches Played 5 8
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2012 Algeria Cup
Mouzaia vs Bouakeul
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouzaia 30 / 100
Bouakeul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouzaia Bouakeul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mouzaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouzaia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Bouakeul let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Bouakeul lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mouzaia VS Bouakeul
1.2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouzaia

(Home)
07 Dec
Mouzaia
1 : 4
Amal Bou Saada
28 Dec
Ain Beida
5 : 1
Mouzaia
14 Dec
Mouzaia
2 : 0
Bouakeul
19 Feb
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
Mouzaia
25 Dec
Mouzaia
2 : 0
USM Setif

Bouakeul

(Away)
03 Jan
Bouakeul
0 : 1
Beni Thamou
03 Feb
CA Batna
2 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Nov
MB Hassi Messaoud
1 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Nov
RC Oued Rhiou
1 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Jan
Cheraga
1 : 0
Bouakeul
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 2
US Chaouia 1
Reghaia 1
Kabylie 3
Mouzaia 2
Bouakeul 0
Achir 0
Ain Beida 1
USM Blida 2
Medea 1
Msila 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 2
Bel Abbes 4
Doucen 1
Annaba 0
Constantine 3
CR Belouizdad 5
MC Debdaba 0
ASM Oran 1
Bejaia 2
OM Arzew 3
CR Zoubiria 0
RC Oued Rhiou 0
Ain Fakroun 1
Cheraga 1
Hamma Loulou 0
Mazouna 0
Hamra Annaba 1
Touggourt 1
Ain Turck 0
Paradou 2
ES Setif 3
Oran 4
Skikda 1
JSM Tiaret 1
Hadjar 3
Rouisset 5
Guir Abadla 0
Bouira 0
ASO Chlef 6
Mlila 2
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Mostaganem 0
Khroub 1
Azzaba 5
Tadamoun Souf 1
MSP Batna 0
Tlemcen 1
Hussein Dey 5
El Kerma 0
Lakhdaria 1
Merouana 2
CA Batna 2
Tebessa 0
Dar El Beida 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 1
Bougtob 0
GC Mascara 0
Eulma 2
Sig 2
Robah 1
Saoura 0
USM Alger 1
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Kabylie 0
Mouzaia 1
Ain Beida 5
USM Blida 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 0
Bel Abbes 1
Constantine 5
CR Belouizdad 1
Bejaia 0
OM Arzew 0
Ain Fakroun 3
Cheraga 1
Hamra Annaba 0
Touggourt 1
ES Setif 2
Oran 4
Hadjar 0
Rouisset 2
ASO Chlef 3
Mlila 1
Khroub 0
Azzaba 1
Tlemcen 2
Hussein Dey 1
Merouana 0
CA Batna 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 4
Eulma 2
Sig 0
USM Alger 5
1/8-finals
MC Alger 3
Ain Beida 0
USM Blida 1
Constantine 3
CR Belouizdad 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Cheraga 0
ES Setif 3
Oran 2
ASO Chlef 0
Mlila 1
Tlemcen 2
Hussein Dey 2
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 0
USM Alger 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 3
Constantine 0
CR Belouizdad 1
ES Setif 2
Oran 3
Tlemcen 1
Hussein Dey 1
USM Alger 2
Semi-finals
MC Alger 3
ES Setif 2
Oran 0
USM Alger 1
Final
MC Alger 0
USM Alger 1