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Moyola vs Armagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Moyola Logo

Moyola

1 - 0
FT
Armagh Logo

Armagh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Moyola and Armagh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moyola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Moyola
35%
Draws
28%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moyola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moyola come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Moyola Clean Sheet 17%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Armagh
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 0
Draws 2 9
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.3 0.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Armagh
1:0
Mar 30, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Armagh
2:2
Feb 5, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Armagh vs Moyola
1:2
Apr 23, 2005 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Armagh
0:1
Jan 21, 2005 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Moyola
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 31 / 100
Armagh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Armagh conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Moyola scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Moyola remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Armagh
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Armagh

(Away)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)