Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moyola vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
McCallion D.
33' Event
Parkhouse D.
39' Event
McEleney S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Moyola and Ballymena finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Moyola
35%
Draws
30%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymena come out ahead of Moyola on wins alone.
  • Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ballymena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Moyola Clean Sheet 12%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Ballymena
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
1:3
Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:3
Jul 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:0
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:1
Jan 6, 2018 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Moyola
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Parkhouse D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer McCallion D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McEleney S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 22 / 100
Ballymena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyola's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ballymena has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Moyola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Ballymena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7