Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moyola vs Ballymena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ballymena have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Moyola have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Moyola have won 0 to Ballymena's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.69, favoring Ballymena. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Moyola
15%
Draws
49%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymena have won more games recently than Moyola.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ballymena arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ballymena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Moyola Clean Sheet 13%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Ballymena
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
1:3
Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:3
Jul 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:0
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Ballymena
0:1
Jan 6, 2018 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Moyola
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 35 / 100
Ballymena 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyola scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Ballymena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Moyola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Ballymena
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
20 Oct
Dundela
1 : 4
Moyola
16 Oct
Moyola
2 : 3
Newington FC
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
TBD -
Linfield -
1/8-finals
Warrenpoint -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
Queens University -
Limavady -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Moyola -
Ballymena -
Glentoran -
Larne -
Dungannon -
Coleraine -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -