Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ballymena have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Moyola have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Moyola have won 0 to Ballymena's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.69, favoring Ballymena. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ballymena have won more games recently than Moyola.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Ballymena arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ballymena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moyola | Ballymena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moyola scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Ballymena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Moyola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.