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Moyola vs Glenavon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
O'Connor M.
17' Event
Parkhill I.
52' Event
Kane K.

AI Match Summary

Moyola in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moyola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Moyola
20%
Draws
57%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenavon average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Moyola's 1.29.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Glenavon taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Glenavon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.53
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Glenavon
0:3
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Glenavon
2:1
Jan 10, 2015 Irish Cup
Moyola vs Glenavon
2:3
Feb 18, 2005 NIFL Championship
Glenavon vs Moyola
3:0
Oct 9, 2004 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Glenavon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Parkhill I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kane K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 10 / 100
Glenavon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Moyola scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Moyola has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Glenavon
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
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Glenavon

(Away)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
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