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Moyola vs Harland & Wolff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup
Sat, Jan 10, 2026
2 - 4
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McLellan M.
11' Event
Parkhouse D.
50' Event
McCready J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Moyola
15%
Draws
36%
Harland & Wolff
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moyola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Harland & Wolff have won more games recently than Moyola.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Harland & Wolff arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Harland & Wolff, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Harland & Wolff here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moyola Clean Sheet 11%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Harland & Wolff
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Harland & Wolff
1:4
Jan 10, 2026 Irish Cup
Moyola vs Harland & Wolff
2:4
Feb 6, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Harland & Wolff vs Moyola
2:1
Aug 18, 2009 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Harland & Wolff
1:2
Apr 11, 2009 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Harland & Wolff
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Parkhouse D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCready J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Harland & Wolff Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McLellan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 29 / 100
Harland & Wolff 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Harland & Wolff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moyola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Moyola found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Harland & Wolff conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Harland & Wolff registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Harland & Wolff
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Harland & Wolff

(Away)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3