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Moyola vs Portstewart

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2022/2023
Tue, Aug 9, 2022
4 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moyola play Portstewart in the Irish League Cup 2022/2023. Moyola are favorites here. Recently, Moyola averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. Portstewart averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. In past meetings, Moyola won 2, Portstewart won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 16, 2025 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Moyola and 1.50 for Portstewart. This points to a Moyola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Moyola
15%
Draws
19%
Portstewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moyola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Moyola picked up more points recently compared to Portstewart.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Moyola Clean Sheet 16%
Portstewart Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Portstewart
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.46 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Portstewart
5:3
Aug 9, 2022 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Portstewart
4:1
Dec 19, 2015 Irish Cup
Portstewart vs Moyola
3:1
Apr 2, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Portstewart
0:0
Nov 20, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Portstewart vs Moyola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Willighan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLean R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portstewart Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 63 / 100
Portstewart 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Portstewart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moyola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Moyola & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moyola attacking → ← attacking Portstewart

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyola scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Portstewart let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Moyola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portstewart lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 14
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00