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Mozambique U17 vs Lesotho U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2011
Mozambique U17 Logo

Mozambique U17

0 - 2
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Lesotho U17 Logo

Lesotho U17

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lesotho U17 in this CAF African Championship U17 2011 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mozambique U17
15%
Draws
26%
Lesotho U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mozambique U17 have won more games recently than Lesotho U17.
  • Win probability leans Mozambique U17's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Mozambique U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lesotho U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mozambique U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Lesotho U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U17 Lesotho U17
Matches Played 17 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mozambique U17 vs Lesotho U17
0:2
Apr 11, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Lesotho U17 vs Mozambique U17
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U17 36 / 100
Lesotho U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U17 Lesotho U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lesotho U17 conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mozambique U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Lesotho U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U17 VS Lesotho U17
1 Goals Scored 0.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique U17

(Home)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
20 May
Angola U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Tanzania U17
3 : 0
Mozambique U17
20 Aug
Mozambique U17
0 : 3
Comoros U17
Page 1 of 4

Lesotho U17

(Away)
21 Sept
Lesotho U17
0 : 1
Mozambique U20
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
:
Mauritius U17
11 Sept
Cameroon U17
4 : 2
Lesotho U17
29 Aug
Lesotho U17
0 : 3
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Mozambique U17
0 : 2
Lesotho U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4