Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique U20 vs Botswana U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2024 Lalgy Arena, Matola
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mussa K.
Assist: Domingos F.
46'
Sub
Nfhandiso P. In: Japane G.
Out: Nfhandiso P.
53'
Sub
Baisi T. In: Kotase B.
Out: Baisi T.

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2024 game between Mozambique U20 and Botswana U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botswana U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mozambique U20
15%
Draws
12%
Botswana U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mozambique U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Mozambique U20 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Botswana U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U20 Botswana U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Botswana U20
1:2
Dec 1, 2011 Friendly International
Botswana U20 vs Mozambique U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mussa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botswana U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Japane G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U20 85 / 100
Botswana U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U20 Botswana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botswana U20 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Botswana U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mozambique U20 scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U20 VS Botswana U20
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique U20

(Home)
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0
Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1
Seychelles U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2
Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
2 : 0
Mozambique U20
Page 1 of 6

Botswana U20

(Away)
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Botswana U20
0 : 3
Malawi U20
19 Sept
Comoros U20
0 : 0
Botswana U20
09 Jul
Zambia U20
1 : 0
Botswana U20
07 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Botswana U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Botswana U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Eswatini U20 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 0 3 5:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola U20 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zambia U20 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
3 Namibia U20 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Comoros U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
3 Malawi U20 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Lesotho U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)