Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique U20 vs Senegal U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Traore C.
45' Event
Diallo P. A.
46'
Sub
Traore C. In: Nhabanga E.
Out: Traore C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Senegal U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mozambique U20
15%
Draws
42%
Senegal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal U20 come out ahead of Mozambique U20 on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Mozambique U20 taking it.
  • Senegal U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U20 Senegal U20
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.18 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mozambique U20 vs Senegal U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Senegal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo P. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demba P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U20 59 / 100
Senegal U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U20 Senegal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mozambique U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Senegal U20 has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U20 VS Senegal U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique U20

(Home)
27 Sept
South Africa U20
2 : 1
Mozambique U20
25 Sept
Namibia U20
0 : 3
Mozambique U20
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0
Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1
Seychelles U20
Page 1 of 8

Senegal U20

(Away)
04 Oct
Senegal U20
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
01 Oct
Senegal U20
2 : 1
D.R. Congo U20
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams