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Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghana U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mozambique U23
20%
Draws
38%
Ghana U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mozambique U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ghana U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mozambique U23.
  • Model gives Mozambique U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Ghana U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ghana U23 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mozambique U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Ghana U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U23 Ghana U23
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ghana U23 vs Mozambique U23
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23
1:2
Sep 10, 2011 African Games
Mozambique U23 vs Ghana U23
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U23 49 / 100
Ghana U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U23 Ghana U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mozambique U23's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Ghana U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Mozambique U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U23 VS Ghana U23
1.6 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique U23

(Home)
30 Sept
Botswana U23
0 : 2
Mozambique U23
30 Oct
Ghana U23
2 : 0
Mozambique U23
23 Oct
Mozambique U23
1 : 2
Ghana U23
27 Sept
Mauritius U23
1 : 2
Mozambique U23
24 Sept
Mozambique U23
3 : 0
Mauritius U23
Page 1 of 2

Ghana U23

(Away)
30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
27 Jun
Morocco U23
5 : 1
Ghana U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
15 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
28 Mar
Ghana U23
1 : 0
Algeria U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1