Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Manyisa L. M.
46'
46'
Sub
Nhambire J. In: Ze Pedro J.
Out: Nhambire J.
58'
58'
Sub
Gadlela A. M. In: Simelane S. M.
Out: Gadlela A. M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mozambique come out ahead of Eswatini on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mozambique's way, sitting at 50%.
- Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Eswatini, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%
Eswatini Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mozambique | Eswatini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Eswatini vs Mozambique
0:3
Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Eswatini
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Eswatini
0:0
May 24, 2022 Friendly International
Mozambique vs Eswatini
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 COSAFA Cup
Eswatini vs Mozambique
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mozambique 59 / 100
Eswatini 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mozambique Eswatini
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mozambique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mozambique found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Eswatini let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Eswatini has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mozambique VS Eswatini
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Mozambique
(Home) 25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1 Senegal
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0 Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1 Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0 Mozambique
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2 Cameroon
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1 Senegal
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2 Cameroon
09 Oct
Mozambique
1 : 2 Guinea
08 Sept
Mozambique
2 : 0 Botswana
10 Jun
Mozambique
1 : 3 Zimbabwe
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Eswatini
(Away) 31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2 Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0 Eswatini
13 Oct
Cape Verde
3 : 0 Eswatini
08 Oct
Eswatini
2 : 2 Angola
08 Sept
Libya
2 : 0 Eswatini
Page 1 of 6
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0 Eswatini
13 Oct
Cape Verde
3 : 0 Eswatini
08 Sept
Libya
2 : 0 Eswatini
04 Sept
Cameroon
3 : 0 Eswatini
09 Jun
Madagascar
1 : 1 Eswatini
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Eswatini | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Kenya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Seychelles | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
