Sport Picks

Mozambique vs Eswatini - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Estádio da Machava, Maputo

Mozambique

1 - 1

Eswatini

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Mkhonta L.

26'

Neves Santos P. M.

46'

Sub

Neves Santos P. M. In: Witiness J.

Out: Neves Santos P. M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Mozambique

20%

Draws

16%

Eswatini

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mozambique come out ahead of Eswatini on wins alone.
Model gives Mozambique a 64% chance of winning this.
Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Eswatini, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%

Eswatini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mozambique	Eswatini
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	10	4
Draws	6	9
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.13	0.72
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.73	1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Eswatini vs Mozambique

0:3

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Eswatini

1:1

Jun 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup

Mozambique vs Eswatini

0:0

May 24, 2022 Friendly International

Mozambique vs Eswatini

0:1

Jul 18, 2021 COSAFA Cup

Eswatini vs Mozambique

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratifo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.33

Avg xA / game 0.86

Eswatini Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavuso T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 86 / 100

Eswatini 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mozambique Eswatini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Eswatini let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Eswatini has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Eswatini

1.25 Goals Scored 0.6

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.2

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 60%

38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)

29 Sept

Mozambique

4 : 1

Sudan

25 Sept

Mozambique

1 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

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Eswatini

(Away)

31 Mar

Eswatini

1 : 2

Eritrea

25 Mar

Eritrea

2 : 0

Eswatini

13 Oct

Cape Verde

3 : 0

Eswatini

08 Oct

Eswatini

2 : 2

Angola

08 Sept

Libya

2 : 0

Eswatini

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