Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Estádio da Machava

Mozambique

1 - 1

Eswatini

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Mkhonta L.

26'

Neves Santos P. M.

46'

Sub

Neves Santos P. M. In: Witiness J.

Out: Neves Santos P. M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Africa Cup of Nations 2025 game between Mozambique and Eswatini finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Mozambique

33%

Draws

27%

Eswatini

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mozambique come out ahead of Eswatini on wins alone.
Model gives Mozambique a 40% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%

Eswatini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mozambique	Eswatini
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	10	4
Draws	5	9
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.88	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.75	2.29
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Eswatini vs Mozambique

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Eswatini

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jun 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup

Mozambique vs Eswatini

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

May 24, 2022 Friendly International

Mozambique vs Eswatini

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Jul 18, 2021 COSAFA Cup

Eswatini vs Mozambique

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratifo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Eswatini Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavuso T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 50 / 100

Eswatini 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mozambique Eswatini

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Eswatini let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Eswatini's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Eswatini

0.88 Goals Scored 0.57

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.29

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 71%

38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4