Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo

Mozambique

2 - 1

Somalia

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Amade A.

Assist: Witiness J.

29'

Ratifo S.

Assist: Catamo G.

55'

Catamo G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Mozambique and Somalia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mozambique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Mozambique

20%

Draws

40%

Somalia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Mozambique carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 18%

Somalia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mozambique	Somalia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	3
Draws	5	4
Losses	15	23
Goals Scored	1.13	0.43
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Somalia vs Mozambique

0:1

Jun 7, 2024 World Championship

Mozambique vs Somalia

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Amade A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ratifo S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Somalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirwa I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 36 / 100

Somalia 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mozambique Somalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somalia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mozambique's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Somalia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Somalia

1 Goals Scored 0.63

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)

29 Sept

Mozambique

4 : 1

Sudan

25 Sept

Mozambique

1 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

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Somalia

(Away)

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

26 Nov

Oman

1 : 0

Somalia

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