Sport Picks

Mozambique vs Sudan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo

Mozambique

4 - 1

Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Sub

Vilanculos G. In: Mathe C. O.

Out: Vilanculos G.

24'

Witiness J.

Assist: Guimaraes R.

46'

Sub

Januario B. A. In: Cherene O.

Out: Januario B. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Mozambique

15%

Draws

51%

Sudan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Mozambique have won more games recently than Sudan.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mozambique, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Mozambique here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%

Sudan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mozambique	Sudan
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	9	7
Draws	5	8
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.1	0.74
Goals Conceded	1.76	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Sudan

4:1

Apr 22, 2000 World Championship

Mozambique vs Sudan

2:1

Apr 8, 2000 World Championship

Sudan vs Mozambique

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamito

2 Goals

Assists Leader Witiness J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 41 / 100

Sudan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mozambique Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sudan conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Sudan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Sudan

0.88 Goals Scored 0.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)

29 Sept

Mozambique

4 : 1

Sudan

25 Sept

Mozambique

1 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

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Sudan

(Away)

29 Sept

Mozambique

4 : 1

Sudan

25 Sept

Sudan

1 : 0

Ethiopia

03 Jan

Senegal

3 : 1

Sudan

31 Dec

Sudan

0 : 2

Burkina Faso

28 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Sudan

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