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Mozyrskiy NPZ vs BumProm Gomel

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2023/2024
Wed, May 31, 2023
1 - 4
03:30 PM
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Match Events

16' Event
Zagvozdin N.
40' Event
Simonchik E.
75'
Lagutin V.

AI Match Summary

The Belarusian Cup 2023/2024 game between Mozyrskiy NPZ and BumProm Gomel finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mozyrskiy NPZ
11%
Draws
80%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BumProm Gomel a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mozyrskiy NPZ Clean Sheet 18%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozyrskiy NPZ BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Belarusian Cup
Mozyrskiy NPZ vs BumProm Gomel
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozyrskiy NPZ Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagvozdin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonchik E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalimonchikov D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozyrskiy NPZ 12 / 100
BumProm Gomel 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozyrskiy NPZ BumProm Gomel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

BumProm Gomel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mozyrskiy NPZ scored in 33% of their last 3 outings.

Difficult form: BumProm Gomel registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BumProm Gomel
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Vitebsk3
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk0
Volna Pinsk6
TBD-
Slutsk-
Novaya Pripyat2
ML Vitebsk11
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Smorgon 20
Lokomotiv Gomel11
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Urozhaynaya0
Niva Dolbizno6
TBD-
Naftan-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka0
FK Lida1
TBD-
Zhodino-
Ivatsevichi3
Orsha0
TBD-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
Mozyrskiy NPZ1
BumProm Gomel4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
FK Miory3
Torpeda Bobruisk0
TBD-
BATE-
Gorki0
Ostrovets1
TBD-
Smorgon-
Leskhoz1
Zhodino Yuzhnoe2
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Fakel Novogrudok1
Osipovichi4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
FK Kobrin0
FK Baranovici4
TBD-
Neman-
Traktor Minsk1
FC Slonim2
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Partizan Salihorsk0
Molodechno1
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Neman Mosty0
Dnepr Mogilev5
TBD-
Belshina-
1/16-finals
Vitebsk1
SKA-1938 Minsk0
Volna Pinsk0
Slutsk1
ML Vitebsk1
Isloch Minsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk3
Niva Dolbizno3
Naftan2
FK Lida1
Zhodino3
Ivatsevichi1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk6
BumProm Gomel0
Dynamo Brest2
FK Miory0
BATE13
Ostrovets2
Smorgon0
Zhodino Yuzhnoe0
Din. Minsk2
Osipovichi1
FC Gomel0
FK Baranovici0
Neman2
FC Slonim1
Slavia Mozyr2
Molodechno0
FC Minsk1
Dnepr Mogilev3
Belshina1
1/8-finals
Vitebsk1
Slutsk0
Isloch Minsk1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Niva Dolbizno1
Zhodino2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk2
Dynamo Brest1
BATE3
Ostrovets1
Din. Minsk9
Osipovichi0
Neman1
Slavia Mozyr0
FC Minsk2
Dnepr Mogilev0
Quarter-finals
Vitebsk3
Isloch Minsk4
Zhodino2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk1
BATE3
Din. Minsk4
Neman4
FC Minsk0
Semi-finals
Isloch Minsk2
Zhodino1
Din. Minsk1
Neman2
Final
Isloch Minsk0
Neman2