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MPS vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
MPS Logo

MPS

1 - 1
FT
KaPa Logo

KaPa

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hayes F.
56' Event
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2016 game between MPS and KaPa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
MPS
30%
Draws
47%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KaPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • MPS haven't matched KaPa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KaPa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
MPS Clean Sheet 20%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS KaPa
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 3 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs KaPa
1:1
Jul 17, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
KaPa vs MPS
5:0
Aug 30, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs KaPa
3:5
Jun 6, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
KaPa vs MPS
1:2
Sep 26, 2007 Kakkonen Group A
KaPa vs MPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayes F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 16 / 100
KaPa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KaPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KaPa let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

MPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

MPS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS KaPa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

KaPa

(Away)
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)