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MPS vs Kultsu Joutseno

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Voutilainen A.
18' Event
Ulander A.
39'
Monkkonen T.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2016 game between MPS and Kultsu Joutseno finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MPS
20%
Draws
40%
Kultsu Joutseno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kultsu Joutseno come out ahead of MPS on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans MPS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%
Kultsu Joutseno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS Kultsu Joutseno
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 3 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Kultsu Joutseno
3:2
Jun 28, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Kultsu Joutseno vs MPS
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vesterinen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ulander A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Kultsu Joutseno Compare

Top Goalscorer Voutilainen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borgstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 83 / 100
Kultsu Joutseno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS Kultsu Joutseno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kultsu Joutseno let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

MPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Kultsu Joutseno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MPS VS Kultsu Joutseno
0 Goals Scored 0.5
7 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
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Kultsu Joutseno

(Away)
08 May
Kultsu Joutseno
0 : 7
Lahti
28 Apr
PK-37
2 : 3
Kultsu Joutseno
26 Apr
Kultsu Joutseno
1 : 5
Mikkelin
31 Oct
Kultsu Joutseno
1 : 2
Honka Akatemia
25 Oct
MiPK
4 : 4
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)