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MPS vs Sudet

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Pasi T.
61' Event
Haiko N.
74'
Soutar M.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2016 game between MPS and Sudet finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
MPS
15%
Draws
36%
Sudet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sudet come out ahead of MPS on wins alone.
  • MPS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%
Sudet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS Sudet
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Sudet
1:1
Jun 12, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Sudet vs MPS
2:2
Sep 17, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
Sudet vs MPS
2:1
Jun 29, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Sudet
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Haiko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Sudet Compare

Top Goalscorer Hellsten H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 83 / 100
Sudet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS Sudet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudet has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

MPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Sudet has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MPS VS Sudet
0 Goals Scored 1
7 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

Sudet

(Away)
06 Jun
MyPa
7 : 2
Sudet
05 Oct
VJS
2 : 3
Sudet
28 Sept
Sudet
1 : 7
NJS
19 Sept
PEPO
8 : 1
Sudet
15 Sept
Sudet
0 : 2
JaPS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)