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MPS vs Warkaus

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2007
MPS Logo

MPS

1 - 5
FT
Warkaus Logo

Warkaus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Warkaus in this Kakkonen Group A 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warkaus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
MPS
15%
Draws
51%
Warkaus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warkaus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MPS haven't matched Warkaus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Warkaus a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Warkaus have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
MPS Clean Sheet 15%
Warkaus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS Warkaus
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2007 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Warkaus
1:5
Jun 17, 2007 Kakkonen Group A
Warkaus vs MPS
3:1
Aug 27, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
Warkaus vs MPS
2:1
May 28, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Warkaus
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 11 / 100
Warkaus 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS Warkaus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warkaus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

MPS's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Warkaus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Difficult form: Warkaus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MPS VS Warkaus
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
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Warkaus

(Away)
11 Aug
AC Kajaani
13 : 0
Warkaus
05 Aug
Warkaus
2 : 1
GBK Kokkola
28 Jul
PS Kemi
8 : 0
Warkaus
22 Jul
Warkaus
0 : 2
HauPa
14 Jul
YPA
0 : 1
Warkaus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KaPa 26 17 6 3 46:22 57
2 Kuusankoski 26 16 6 4 57:25 54
3 Mikkelin 26 15 4 7 39:24 49
4 LPS 26 13 6 7 43:28 45
5 City Stars 26 13 5 8 48:29 44
6 Warkaus 26 11 8 7 43:30 41
7 Gnistan 26 10 9 7 43:29 39
8 FC Kontu 26 9 8 9 39:35 35
9 Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 26 10 5 11 45:42 35
10 Rakuunat 26 8 3 15 35:59 27
11 FCJ Blackbird 26 7 3 16 29:48 24
12 PuiU Helsinki 26 6 6 14 29:51 24
13 MPS 26 7 1 18 32:63 22
14 MiPK 26 3 4 19 25:68 13
Promotion - Ykkonen 2008 (Main)