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Mqabba FC vs Rabat Ajax

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2021/2022 game between Mqabba FC and Rabat Ajax finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rabat Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mqabba FC
40%
Draws
29%
Rabat Ajax
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mqabba FC come out ahead of Rabat Ajax on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Challenge League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 16%
Rabat Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mqabba FC Rabat Ajax
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs Mqabba FC
2:2
Oct 23, 2021 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Rabat Ajax
1:2
Apr 19, 2018 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Rabat Ajax
2:0
Jan 7, 2018 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs Mqabba FC
0:3
Mar 3, 2017 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs Mqabba FC
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mqabba FC 31 / 100
Rabat Ajax 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mqabba FC Rabat Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rabat Ajax let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Rabat Ajax has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mqabba FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mqabba FC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mqabba FC

(Home)
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0
Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 8

Rabat Ajax

(Away)
09 Apr
Rabat Ajax
1 : 2
Melita
04 Apr
Vittoriosa
3 : 2
Rabat Ajax
13 Mar
Rabat Ajax
0 : 2
Naxxar Lions
06 Mar
San Gwann
3 : 1
Rabat Ajax
27 Feb
Rabat Ajax
1 : 3
Lija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)