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Mqabba FC vs Zurrieq

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between Mqabba FC and Zurrieq finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mqabba FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mqabba FC
17%
Draws
70%
Zurrieq
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zurrieq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Zurrieq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zurrieq a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mqabba FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mqabba FC Zurrieq
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2022 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Zurrieq
1:0
Jan 31, 2015 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Zurrieq
1:1
Sep 28, 2014 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Mqabba FC
0:2
Dec 2, 2012 FA Trophy
Zurrieq vs Mqabba FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mqabba FC 14 / 100
Zurrieq 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mqabba FC Zurrieq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mqabba FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Zurrieq conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mqabba FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mqabba FC VS Zurrieq
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mqabba FC

(Home)
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0
Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
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Zurrieq

(Away)
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Zurrieq
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sliema17152040:1047
2Naxxar Lions17132240:1541
3Zejtun17110635:2233
4Tarxien1795334:1932
5Zurrieq1792633:2829
6Melita1775529:2226
7Fgura1774641:2525
8Marsa1766527:2324
9Swieqi1766533:3124
10St. Andrews1764723:2722
11Lija1755728:3220
12Attard1754819:3019
13San Gwann1753920:3418
14Marsaskala FC17431028:3915
15Mqabba FC17431021:3615
16Qrendi1735919:3614
17Mtarfa17421111:2814
18Vittoriosa17311314:3810
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)