Sport Picks
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Luke, Mrkonjic Grad 
Match Events
30'
30'
Danilovic I.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Bokic J.
46'
46'
Sub
Tesic V. In: Bozic M.
Out: Tesic V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Kozara have won more games recently than Mrkonjic Grad.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 68%
Kozara Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mrkonjic Grad | Kozara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Mrkonjic Grad
3:1
Nov 27, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozara
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Mrkonjic Grad
2:2
Oct 7, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozara
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozara
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mrkonjic Grad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Kozara Compare
Top Goalscorer Bokic J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mrkonjic Grad 41 / 100
Kozara 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mrkonjic Grad Kozara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mrkonjic Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Mrkonjic Grad scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Mrkonjic Grad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Kozara has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kozara
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mrkonjic Grad
(Home) 31 May
Kozara
3 : 1 Mrkonjic Grad
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0 Sloboda Novi Grad
17 May
Romanija Pale
2 : 2 Mrkonjic Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
10 May
Slavija
3 : 1 Mrkonjic Grad
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0 Sloboda Novi Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
07 May
Mrkonjic Grad
0 : 1 Zvijezda 09
26 Apr
Mrkonjic Grad
4 : 0 Kozarska Dubica
12 Apr
Mrkonjic Grad
1 : 2 BSK Banja Luka
Page 1 of 3
Kozara
(Away) 03 Oct
Zvornik
1 : 0 Kozara
26 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0 Sutjeska Foca
23 Sept
Slavija
0 : 0 Kozara
19 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0 Nevesinje
12 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0 Kozara
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Zvornik
1 : 0 Kozara
23 Sept
Slavija
0 : 0 Kozara
12 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0 Kozara
02 Sept
Majevica
0 : 0 Kozara
22 Aug
Famos Vojkovici
0 : 1 Kozara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laktasi | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 90:24 | 81 |
| 2 | BSK Banja Luka | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 67:39 | 71 |
| 3 | Rudar Prijedor | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:21 | 66 |
| 4 | Zvijezda 09 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Sloboda Novi Grad | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 49 |
| 6 | Slavija | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:42 | 47 |
| 7 | Famos Vojkovici | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:35 | 46 |
| 8 | Sutjeska Foca | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 42:55 | 46 |
| 9 | Leotar | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:29 | 45 |
| 10 | Romanija Pale | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36:32 | 44 |
| 11 | Zvornik | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Kozara | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Nevesinje | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:58 | 42 |
| 14 | Drina Visegrad | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 37:59 | 42 |
| 15 | Zeljeznicar Banja Luka | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Ljubic Prnjavor | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:62 | 40 |
| 17 | Mrkonjic Grad | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 44:61 | 34 |
| 18 | Kozarska Dubica | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:88 | 16 |
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