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Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozarska Dubica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Luke, Mrkonjic Grad
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zekanovic P.
17'
Gvasalia D.
22' Event
Gvasalia D.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 game between Mrkonjic Grad and Kozarska Dubica finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mrkonjic Grad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mrkonjic Grad
20%
Draws
10%
Kozarska Dubica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mrkonjic Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mrkonjic Grad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Mrkonjic Grad taking it.
  • Regular Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mrkonjic Grad have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 20%
Kozarska Dubica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mrkonjic Grad Kozarska Dubica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.33 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozarska Dubica
4:0
Oct 9, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Mrkonjic Grad
1:0
May 4, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Mrkonjic Grad
1:3
Oct 21, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Kozarska Dubica
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mrkonjic Grad Compare

Top Goalscorer Zekanovic P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gvasalia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kozarska Dubica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mrkonjic Grad 85 / 100
Kozarska Dubica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mrkonjic Grad Kozarska Dubica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mrkonjic Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozarska Dubica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Mrkonjic Grad found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mrkonjic Grad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mrkonjic Grad VS Kozarska Dubica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mrkonjic Grad

(Home)
31 May
Kozara
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0
Sloboda Novi Grad
17 May
Romanija Pale
2 : 2
Mrkonjic Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1
Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
10 May
Slavija
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
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Kozarska Dubica

(Away)
31 May
Leotar
7 : 0
Kozarska Dubica
23 May
Kozarska Dubica
0 : 2
Famos Vojkovici
20 May
Nevesinje
3 : 0
Kozarska Dubica
17 May
Kozarska Dubica
1 : 6
Sutjeska Foca
14 May
BSK Banja Luka
2 : 2
Kozarska Dubica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laktasi 34 26 3 5 90:24 81
2 BSK Banja Luka 34 22 5 7 67:39 71
3 Rudar Prijedor 34 20 6 8 50:21 66
4 Zvijezda 09 34 18 6 10 46:34 60
5 Sloboda Novi Grad 34 15 7 12 43:38 49
6 Slavija 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
7 Famos Vojkovici 34 13 7 14 40:35 46
8 Sutjeska Foca 34 14 4 16 42:55 46
9 Leotar 34 12 9 13 42:29 45
10 Romanija Pale 34 11 11 12 36:32 44
11 Zvornik 34 13 5 16 38:42 44
12 Kozara 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
13 Nevesinje 34 12 6 16 38:58 42
14 Drina Visegrad 34 13 3 18 37:59 42
15 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka 34 12 5 17 46:52 41
16 Ljubic Prnjavor 34 11 7 16 39:62 40
17 Mrkonjic Grad 34 9 7 18 44:61 34
18 Kozarska Dubica 34 5 4 25 29:88 16
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